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martedì 1 novembre 2016

Moody's Analytics election model predicts Clinton win (but there's a but)

Reuters reporting on Moody"s Analytics election model



  • It forecasts Clinton to win 332 Electoral College votes

  • And 206 Trump

Moody"s model is based on a combination of state-level economic conditions and political history


  • It has correctly called the outcome of each presidential election since 1980

And, for the "but":


  • "Given the unusual nature of the 2016 election cycle to date, it is very possible that voters will react to changing economic and political conditions differently than they have in past election cycles, placing some risk in the model outcome, particularly state-by-state projections"

So, Clinton to win! Or Trump!


;-)








Moody"s Analytics election model predicts Clinton win (but there"s a but)
Moody"s Analytics election model predicts Clinton win (but there"s a but)
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