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giovedì 1 giugno 2017

Goldman Sachs sees AUD/USD falling to high 60s

Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Philip Moffitt, Asia-Pacific head of fixed income


This is via Bloomberg

  • Sees AUD to around the "high 60s" level against the USD

  • Australia loses its yield advantage ... to disappear by mid-2018

  • Fed to keep tightening, while the RBA remains on hold

  • "One of the reasons why people buy Aussie dollars is it has been a relatively high yielder. That"s changing. More exposure to China, no rate movement here and rate convergence with the U.S. suggest the Aussie will go lower"

  • "It"s quite likely that in 12 months Aussie short rates and U.S. short rates could be basically the same level as the Fed tightens and the RBA does nothing"

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I posted on this sort of indicator earlier this week:  When AUD/USD was at 0.5020 this indicator was where it is now





Goldman Sachs sees AUD/USD falling to high 60s
Goldman Sachs sees AUD/USD falling to high 60s
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