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mercoledì 31 maggio 2017

Preview - "Your 10-second guide to today's Australian retail sales report"

Australian March quarter 2017 Capex survey data is due today at 0130GMT


I posted a few bank previews already:

Business insider have this one up, a great summary & preview;

But I"m gonna have to have a word with them about "10 seconds" :-D.

Maybe for the speed readers.



In very brief from the BI piece (check out the link above for more), the major points to watch

1. Expectations for the headline is +0.5%

2. Equipment, plant and machinery figure, a direct input into Q1 GDP

  • There"s no forecast offered for this figure

  • But ANZ"s economics team thinks it"s likely to increase by 1.5% given growth in capital goods imports during the quarter

  • Such an outcome would make a positive contribution to quarterly GDP

  • Previously expenditure in this category grew by 0.4%.

3. In terms of the second estimate of 2017/18 spend

  • the figure that"s most likely to generate market volatility

  • the median forecast is looking for expenditure of $88 billion, higher than than the first estimate of $81 billion

  • Estimates tend to increase over time as strength in operating conditions becomes more clear to firms

  • Within the second estimate, many will be looking at expected spend from other industries, particularly as the RBA expects it to pick up in the quarters ahead.





Preview - "Your 10-second guide to today"s Australian retail sales report"
Preview - "Your 10-second guide to today"s Australian retail sales report"
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